Development of a Risk-Scoring System to Predict Car Insurance Fraud

Development of a Risk-Scoring System to Predict Car Insurance Fraud

Date

2-13-2024

Faculty Mentor

Julie Staples, Finance, Economics & Accounting; Keith Lowe, Finance, Economics & Accounting

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Submission Type

Conference Proceeding

Location

4:15-4:25pm | Houston Cole Library, 11th Floor

Description

Car insurance fraud constitutes a substantial threat to insurance companies, resulting in significant financial losses. Proactive fraud prevention plays a crucial role in mitigating financial losses. Machine learning approaches are frequently used to predict car insurance frauds. However, the machine learning approach is often viewed as nebulous, posing challenges in interpretation, particularly in the realms of accounting and finance. In contrast, point-based scoring systems (like credit scores) are becoming more widespread in sectors such as healthcare and finance due to its easy interpretation. The objective of this study is to develop a simple risk score system for car insurance fraud that is easily understood. The scoring deviation framework used in disease prediction is adapted for car insurance fraud prediction. The scoring system generates a table containing points for each risk factor of insurance fraud. To evaluate the performance of the proposal, real-life data from a Kaggle dataset containing 15,420 records was utilized to train and test the model. This method not only examines scores but is also useful for insurance professionals to evaluate validity.

Keywords

student research, finance

Rights

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Disciplines

Finance and Financial Management

Development of a Risk-Scoring System to Predict Car Insurance Fraud

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